The Center for Media Research republished a recent forecast by the GroupM division of WPP that says the Beijing Olympics and U.S. presidential elections will help offset to slow the erosion of broadcast revenues in 2008. If there was any relief in the GroupM forecast for newspapers I missed it. This international report:
“identified television and the internet as the primary engines of global ad growth with 50 percent and 30 percent, respectively, of additional new investment in 2008 . . . (and) . . . said spending on marketing services such as sponsorship and public relations is growing at a faster rate than it is for traditional advertising.” (editor’s note: this eMarketer article also suggests that ad buyers are looking for new campaigns and not just the same-old, same-old.)
In other highlights the GroupM report (original version here) also predicted that global Internet ad spending will exceed 10 percent of total expenditures for the first time in 2008 and said that in Sweden, net ads are likely to exceed TV ad spending for the first time — with the U.K. and Denmark poised to follow.
In a separate but related report, a J.P. Morgan analyst suggests price increases for Internet display, or graphical, advertising — a boon for big web publishers like Yahoo.
3 users commented in " Olympics, elections to offset weak economy, boost ads "
Follow-up comment rss or Leave a TrackbackThoughts as a businessperson:
From J.P. Morgan report,
AGREE - money will shift from print to online; CPC (cost per click, not necessarily CPM as they have written) price will rise.
DISAGREE - Yahoo will not be the main beneficiary. G**gle still has a better algorithm and user-friendly interface for both content publishers and ad seekers. It’s all about math and programming these days.
AND - I’m sorry to say this to a print journalist, but as a businessperson, I’m very satisfied with the results from G**gle advertising. Since G**gle holds us to secrecy over CPC, I’ll just say that CPM is $0.014. That’s right, less than two cents per 1,000 impressions. In terms of results, it also netted my first significant account.
Now that I think about it, I don’t think ad seekers are held to secrecy over ad prices. It’s content providers that are held to secrecy over revenue per click. In any case, if advertising prices rose, I’d still use G**gle.
There is another thought on that though. Advertisers set their max price through an automatic bidding interface, making prices at least slightly sticky in the short run. (and extremely market-based in the long run)
Once again, thanks for reminding me to get back to work. I need to check on what position these ads are placing at.
Great blog again Tom. It has been a while–let’s reconnect, link in on LinkedIn.
Tom
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